In the latest polling from CRA, former MP Mike Savage (who recently declared his candidacy for Halifax mayor) is “the …
Savage still the frontrunner for Halifax MayorBy Trevor J. Adams | Sep 5, 2012
Tags: Mayor, municipal election, polls
The latest polls from Corporate Research Associates indicate Mike Savage is well ahead in the race to be the next mayor of the Halifax. According to CRA’s numbers, 67% of decided voters prefer Savage (down from 69% three months ago). Tom Martin is a distant second with 13% (down from 15% in the last poll). Fred Connors follows with 10% (down from 11%). Matthew Worona is preferred by 6% (up from 3%), while Vince Hall garners support from 3% (up from 1%). Meanwhile, 27% of those surveyed said they were undecided, while 7% preferred none of the declared candidates. Have you decided who you’ll vote for yet? Can any of the trailing candidates catch Savage?
The important thing to remember when trying to forecast a municipal election is that voter participation rates tend to be low. In Halifax’s last election, there were 284,258 eligible voters, but less than 100,000 cast ballots. As Hilary Beaumont points out in the cover story of our new issue, 26,000 university students descend on Halifax every fall, many eligible to vote. Historically, students usually sit out municipal elections. But with Dal student Matthew Worona running for mayor, and campus hot-dog vendor Jerry Reddick (AKA the Dawg Father) running for Council, that might change this year. If students mobilize, and vote as a bloc, something very unexpected could happen. For more, see Beaumont’s story. You can find the issue on newsstands now, or subscribe here.